We have extracted the Chairman’s Statement from the 2019 annual report for PZ Cussons Ghana Limited (PZC.gh), listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange :
Welcome to the 61st Annual General Meeting of PZ Cussons Ghana Ltd
The global growth forecast for 2019 is at 3.0 percent, the lowest level since 2008. Growth is projected to pick up to 3.4 percent in 2020, reflecting primarily a projected improvement in economic performance in a number of emerging markets in Latin America, the Middle East, and emerging and developing Europe that are under macroeconomic pressure. Yet, with uncertainties about prospects for several of these countries, a projected slowdown in China and the United States, and prominent downside risks, a much more moderate pace of global activity could well materialize. Making growth more inclusive, which is essential for securing better economic prospects for all.
This year’s African economic outlook from the African Development Bank shows that the continent’s general economic performance continues to improve. Gross Domestic Product reached an estimated 3.5 percent in 2018, about the same as in 2017 and up from 2.1 percent in 2016. Africa’s GDP growth is projected to accelerate to 4.0 percent in 2019 and 4.1 percent in 2020. But even that growth is not fast enough to address persistent fiscal and current account deficits and unsustainable debts. Indeed, countries have to move to a higher growth path and increase the efficiency of growth in generating decent jobs. The 2019 Outlook shows that macroeconomic and employment outcomes are better when industry leads growth.
The economic recovery in sub-Saharan Africa continues. Regional growth is set to pick up from 3 percent in 2018 to 3.5 percent in 2019, before stabilizing at close to 4 percent over the medium term. These region wide numbers mask considerable differences in the growth performance and prospects across countries. About half of the region’s countries — mostly non-resource-intensive countries — are expected to grow at 5 percent or more, which would see per capital incomes rise faster than the rest of the world on average over the medium term. For all other countries, mostly resource-intensive countries, improvements in living standards will be slower. Notwithstanding these different economic prospects and policy priorities, countries share the challenge of strengthening resilience and creating higher, more inclusive and durable growth. Addressing these challenges requires building fiscal space and enhancing resilience to shocks by stepping up actions to mobilize revenues, alongside policies to boost productivity and private investment.
Ghana’s economy continued to expand in 2019, and the first quarter GDP growth was estimated at 6.7%, compared with 5.4% in the same period of last year. Non-oil growth was also strong at 6.0%. The relatively high quarterly growth was driven by a strong recovery in the services sector which grew by 7.2% compared with 1.2% in 2018
The government continued with its fiscal consolidation efforts in 2019 even though there are still challenges in meeting the revenue targets. Fiscal performance for the first half of 2019 showed an overall budget deficit (on cash basis) of 3.3% of GDP higher than the target of 2.9% of GDP. This is because the revenue shortfall of 1.6% of GDP was higher than expenditure cuts of 1% of GDP. Private sector credit grew stronger, supported largely by the well-capitalized banking sector. Inflation continued to be in single digits in the first six months of 2019; gradually rising from 9% in January to 9.5% in April 2019 but reduced to 9.1% in June 2019 mainly driven by low food inflation. The Ghana cedi came under considerable pressure in the first quarter of 2019, due to high demand, as importers sought to restock their supplies but, in the second quarter, the domestic currency market became relatively calmer.
The Ghana cedi cumulatively depreciated by 8.2% in the year to July, 2019. Economic growth is projected to inc